BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Avoca AHST

Class: 1A Class Rank: 10 Conference: (14-3) Overall: (20-4) Overall Strength =   67.17

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/30/2004 Home    W    77.14  62   33   1A   47 (18- 8) Anita CAM              10.58     18.42                      
  2 12/03/2004 Away    W    55.81  61   47   1A  102 (12-11) Sidney                -10.76     24.76                      
  3 12/07/2004 Home    W *  74.26  78   49   2A   96 (10-12) Audubon                 7.70     21.30                      
  4 12/10/2004 Away    W *  58.55  51   28   2A  122 ( 2-20) Underwood              -8.02 *   31.02                      
  5 12/14/2004 Home    W *  65.65  59   51   2A   61 (17- 6) Neola Tri-Center       -0.92      8.92                      
  6 12/17/2004 Away    W *  71.49  65   51   1A   27 (18- 4) Treynor                 4.93      9.07                      
  7 01/07/2005 Away    W *  75.01  71   44   2A   97 ( 8-12) Missouri Valley         8.45     18.55                      
  8 01/08/2005 Home    W *  65.27  53   30   2A  105 ( 5-16) Oakland Riverside      -1.30     24.30  was 01/04/05 now 01/08/05
  9 01/13/2005 Away    W *  66.82  68   49   2A  100 ( 8-12) Griswold                0.25     18.75  was 01/11/05 now 01/13/05
 10 01/14/2005 Away    W *  91.60  92   49   2A   96 (10-12) Audubon                25.04     17.96                      
 11 01/18/2005 Home    W *  51.21  58   39   2A  122 ( 2-20) Underwood             -15.36 *   34.36                      
 12 01/20/2005 Neutral W *  86.93  73   33   2A   96 (10-12) Audubon                20.37     19.63                      
 13 01/22/2005 Away    L *  55.49  39   41   1A   27 (18- 4) Treynor               -11.07      9.07                      
 14 01/25/2005 Home    W *  77.21  68   23   2A  122 ( 2-20) Underwood              10.64 *   34.36                      
 15 01/28/2005 Away    L *  58.99  65   67   2A   61 (17- 6) Neola Tri-Center       -7.57      5.57                      
 16 02/01/2005 Home    L *  46.15  47   55   1A   27 (18- 4) Treynor               -20.41     12.41                      
 17 02/04/2005 Away    W *  53.61  60   52   2A  105 ( 5-16) Oakland Riverside     -12.96     20.96                      
 18 02/08/2005 Home    W *  68.67  67   43   2A   97 ( 8-12) Missouri Valley         2.11     21.89                      
 19 02/11/2005 Home    W *  78.47  71   37   2A  100 ( 8-12) Griswold               11.91     22.09                      
 20 02/15/2005 Away    W    59.05  69   55   1A   85 (10-12) Elk Horn-Kimballton    -7.52     21.52                      
 21 02/17/2005 Away    W    79.88  81   46   1A   94 (12-12) Adair-Casey            13.31     21.69                      
 22 02/23/2005 Home    W    70.70  60   31   1A   85 (10-12) Elk Horn-Kimballton     4.14     24.86                      
 23 02/28/2005 Home    W    61.79  64   53   1A   42 (15- 8) West Harrison          -4.77     15.77                      
 24 03/02/2005 Neutral L    47.79  50   69   1A    8 (22- 6) Manning               -18.78     -0.22                      
      Averages              66.56  63.8 44.8

Best game:   91.60 = 43 point win over Audubon
Worst game:  46.15 = 8 point loss to Treynor
Team stdev:  12.12